Ethereum trendline defense battle: Breakout means drawing the door, weekend fluctuations need to be vigilant.

1. Core Operational Signals: Response to Critical Points in Long and Short Defensive Offense

• Long strategy:

1. Volume breakout at $4423 → chase the long on the right side, with "retrieving this level" as a dynamic stop-loss (volume is the key to the effectiveness of the breakout);

2. If it pulls back to $4336 and the support is effective → take a small long position, with a stop loss at $4296 (if it breaks below, the support is invalid);

3. Hourly level stabilizing at $4437 → Targets successively looking at $4488 → $4522, need to break through the resistance levels to continue the momentum.

• Short Selling Strategy:

1. If the volume breaks below 4393 USD → Short on the right side, strictly manage stop-loss (to guard against the risk of a rebound in a weak market);

2. The upper resistance at $4491 → try shorting with a light position, immediately stop loss if it breaks and stabilizes above $4522 (critical point for offensive and defensive pressure levels).

2. The death line on the 4-hour level: the defensive significance of the yellow trend line.

In the 4-hour chart of the second pancake, the yellow trend line is the current bulls' "last line of defense":

• Absolutely cannot be broken: Once this line is lost, the "Hua Men" market will return, directly looking down towards the vicinity of 4155 USD——this is a key signal for the trend to shift from weak to collapse, requiring extreme vigilance.

• Breakout linkage effect: If the 4-hour level simultaneously breaks below $4374 → the retracement space opens up, target $4312 → $4254, resonating with the trendline breakout, the downward trend may accelerate.

3. Key Levels and Weekend Market Forecasts

• Resistance levels: $4437 (short-term breakout confirmation line) → $4488 (medium-term resistance) → $4522 (near previous highs), a drop in resistance levels indicates insufficient bullish confidence;

• Support level baseline: $4392 (immediate defense) → $4335 (pullback buffer) → $4296 (strong support), the strength of support directly determines the oscillation rhythm.

Liquidity is usually lower on weekends, and the market may continue to fluctuate within a narrow range. The core operation is: do not chase highs or sell lows, keep a close eye on the trend line and the defense at $4374. If it breaks, act decisively; if not, stay on the sidelines.

4. Suggestions for Left Layout

The left-side order can place a long position at $4255, with a stop loss if it falls below $4225—this position is in a deep support zone, suitable for responding to setups after a deep correction, but it is necessary to wait for a clear stop-loss signal (such as a stabilization of the trend line or a decrease in volume).

Summary: Trend lines determine life and death, observe more and act less on weekends.

The current core contradiction of Erbing is "trend line defense and breaking risk". The core operation: treat the yellow trend line as an iron rule; if it doesn't break, treat it as consolidation; if it breaks, decisively avoid risks. The market fluctuation may be amplified over the weekend, so maintaining patience is more important than frequent operations. I wish everyone a pleasant weekend, keep your stop-loss in place, and enjoy the holiday.

Meeting adjourned.