Recently, the market trend of XRP (Ripple) has attracted widespread attention from investors. By combining technical indicators, changes in the regulatory environment, and the flow of institutional funds, we have conducted a comprehensive analysis of XRP's short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends.

The short-term outlook (August to December 2025) is expected to show a volatile upward trend, with target price levels between $4.00 and $8.50. The technical side shows multiple positive signals: XRP has formed solid support around $3.00, and trading volume surged by 77% at the end of July, reaching $7 billion, reflecting strong buying interest. The current price ($3.16 to $3.47) is at a critical breakout point; if it breaks the resistance level of $3.40, it is expected to further advance to $3.65. It is worth noting that if a breakout pattern similar to that of 2017 reoccurs, XRP could accelerate its rise to $8.50.

The behavior of large holders also reveals positive signals. From July 11 to 28, the amount of XRP transferred to exchanges by large holders plummeted by 93.2%, from 43,575 to 2,965, indicating a significant reduction in selling pressure and that the market may be entering an accumulation phase.

In addition, the expectation of the approval of the XRP spot ETF has injected new vitality into the market. Polymarket predicts that there is an 86% chance of the XRP spot ETF being approved by the end of 2025, while Bloomberg analysts have raised this probability to 95%. The potential launch of the ETF could trigger a new wave of investment enthusiasm, driving the price of XRP further up.

However, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor changes in regulatory policies and the overall trends of the cryptocurrency market, as these factors may have a significant impact on the price of XRP. When making investment decisions, it is recommended to consider multiple factors comprehensively and allocate resources reasonably based on individual risk tolerance.