Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, June 27, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends ☀️ Daily attendance for die-hard fans 👍 Like it to make big profits 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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U.S. stocks closed higher on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially up 0.9%, the Nasdaq up 0.97%, and the S&P 500 index rising 0.8%, approaching the historical high of 6147.43. Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 0.5%, while Amazon (AMZN.O) rose 2.4%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed down 0.29%, with Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) dropping 6.5%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 79.3%, while the chance of a 25 basis point cut is 20.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September is 6%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 74.9% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut at 19.1%. The overnight crypto market experienced fluctuations 📉, with Bitcoin breaking below 107000 and Ethereum at the 2400 level being precarious; the altcoin market is even more chaotic. Has this wave of market activity caused by the ceasefire ended? The game between Trump and Powell over whether to cut rates continues, with the Fed tightly gripping Trump's tariff pressure point, collectively releasing "🦅". The crypto market, lacking substantial positive stimuli, naturally fluctuates down 📉, which also illustrates that the crypto market is a news-driven market, making swing trading particularly important. Follow Yibo to grasp real-time news.

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The bearish outlook provided at midnight yesterday was accurately validated, and the market trend closely matched expectations. After briefly testing the top resistance level, the price quickly began to pull back and adjust. The price of Bitcoin peaked at 107971 in the early morning and fell to a low of 106789. Looking at the four-hour chart, the price has been alternating between small bearish and bullish candles, gradually transitioning to a pattern of small bullish and medium bearish candles. After yesterday's peak, the price has begun to show a slow downward trend. Analyzing the market, both bulls and bears remain in a stalemate. On the hourly chart, a large bearish candle instantly swallowed all previous slow upward movement, but this pullback has not been well sustained. In the short term, the price is likely to enter a state of oscillation and adjustment again, and of course, we still maintain our bearish outlook.

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The Ethereum synchronization rose to the 2456 line, with a low coming down to the 2392 line. Currently, on the market, after a short-term rebound under pressure, it has shifted to a high-level oscillation, slowing down the bullish momentum. At the same time, it is further correcting local indicators and accumulating strength. The hourly Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow, and short-term fluctuations cannot be ruled out. However, since the short-term rebound high has already been confirmed, the strength of the rebound has weakened, and technical indicators are turning uniformly downward, suggesting that the price structure is gradually transitioning to a downward oscillation. The continuous tightening of the Bollinger Bands clearly indicates that the oscillation range is being compressed. Although there are signs of short-term resistance on the current market, it limits the rapid breakthrough of previous lows. Overall, the subsequent trend should maintain a weak oscillation, with the range gradually shifting downward. Close attention needs to be paid to the directional choice after the completion of the Bollinger Bands convergence. Under the current signals, the risk of a downward break in the future market must be taken seriously.